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Measuring Uncertainties: Probability Functions (Chinese Version)
Ariño, Miguel AngelTechnical Note ADN-258-ZHDecision Analysis, EconomicsIn this note we present probability functions as a tool to measure uncertainties. Discrete and continuous probabilities are introduced as well as the distinction between probability functions and cumulative probabilities. The mean and standard deviation of a probability are also presented.Starting at €8.20
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Fernando Losada en Freixenet
Concha, A.; Ariño, Miguel AngelCase AD-261Decision Analysis, EconomicsEl caso permite analizar la evolución del sector del cava en España, y de la compañía Freixenet, así como el impacto de la situación económica en el país, en la evolución del sector del cava y de las ventas de la compañía en el mercado interior español.Starting at €8.20
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Singular decisions
Ariño, Miguel AngelTechnical Note ADN-247-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsStarting at €8.20
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The Market Share Problem - Exercise
Ariño, Miguel AngelExercise ADE-18-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsThis is an exercise that allows us to determine the uncertainty of a product's share market.Starting at €8.20
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Decisiones singulares
Ariño, Miguel AngelTechnical Note ADN-247Decision Analysis, EconomicsEn esta nota se estudia el análisis de una decisión cuando hay riesgo. Se introduce la curva de utilidad o de actitud ante el riesgo. Se expone cómo se hace explícita esta curva, y cómo se utiliza en la toma de decisiones.Starting at €8.20
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Previsiones con modelos Box-Jenkins - Ejercicio
Ariño, Miguel AngelExercise ADE-21Decision Analysis, EconomicsSon cinco ejercicios que permiten utilizar modelos Box-Jenkins para la previsión de ventas.Starting at €8.20
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Forecasting technological change. The Delphi method
Agell, Pere; Ariño, Miguel AngelTechnical Note ADN-249-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsThis note describes how to make medium and long-term forecasts about the technology that will be available in the future. It focuses mainly on the Delphi method.Starting at €8.20
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Multiple linear regression
Ariño, Miguel Angel; Agell, PereTechnical Note ADN-246-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsThis note explains the multiple linear regression model. It also explains how to use this model to determine a region's GDP according to the characteristics of the region.Starting at €8.20
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The Chall Project
Ariño, Miguel AngelCase AD-295-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsThis case presents the analysis of an investment with uncertain future flows. It allows the use of simulation techniques for the analysis of this type of decision.Starting at €8.20
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Movies online (B)
Rata, Cristina; Ariño, Miguel Angel; Baucells Alibés, ManelCase AD-278-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsPart (B) describes how to fit a lognormal distribution to the five percentiles given in Part (A) of the case. Given this lognormal distribution, a straightforward Monte-Carlo simulation model can be implemented to find the alternative with the smallest expected cost.Starting at €5.74