Ocean's Dilemma

The case is intended for a class relatively early in a decision analysis or a risk analysis class module. The case can be used as the very first case in the course if students are familiar with the concepts of NPV. Alternatively, students can be given a short technical note on calculating NPV for cash flows as pedagogy for the case. The analysis requires use of NPV calculations to determine the outcomes of different options in the case and to choose one of the given options. Using the choices that students make, the instructor can lead a rich discussion on effects of risk-seeking and risk-averse behavior in situations that managers face in real life.