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The 3P Model
Warnock, FrankTechnical Note DARDEN-GEM-0209-EEconomicsThis note presents an open-economy macroeconomic model with three panes: IS/LM, international capital flows, and the exchange rate and net exports. It also includes extensions: full employment and the evolution of prices, fixed exchange rates, and FX intervention. This note is appropriate for use in a first-year MBA course that deals with international economics.Starting at €8.20
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Identifying Fragilities in the Global Economy
Warnock, Frank; Walsh, Kieran J.Technical Note DARDEN-GEM-0208-EEconomicsThis note presents frameworks and indicators for identifying fragile economies. It includes an assessment of Morgan Stanley's Fragile Five call in 2012 as well as current fragilities data for a range of economies. This note is appropriate for use in a first-year MBA course or an advanced undergraduate- or master's-level course that deals with international economics or finance.Starting at €8.20
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Swatch Group and Francogeddon (Abridged)
Warnock, FrankCase DARDEN-GEM-0206-EEconomicsThis case illustrates how exchange rate shocks affect international businesses. The focus is on one recent stark example: the effect on Swatch Group of the Swiss National Bank's January 2015 decision to end its policy of putting a ceiling on the euro/Swiss franc exchange rate. It is useful for an introductory class that defines different exchange rate concepts, illustrates why managers should care about exchange rates, and motivates/previews the ...Starting at €8.20
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An Abridged User's Guide to BPM6-Based BOP and IIP Accounts
Warnock, FrankTechnical Note DARDEN-GEM-0213-EEconomicsThis note presents an abridged description of balance of payments (BOP) and international investment position (IIP) data. It refers to data for Mexico, but given that there are worldwide standards for countries that report BOP and IIP, it provides guidance for understanding the data of just about any country.Starting at €8.20
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The Yield Curve and Growth Forecasts - Teaching note
Warnock, FrankTeaching Note DARDEN-GEM-0106TN-EEconomicsTeaching note for product GEM-0106Starting at €0.00
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The Yield Curve and Growth Forecasts
Warnock, FrankTechnical Note DARDEN-GEM-0106-EEconomicsFully updated through February 2024, in this case, the protagonist was sifting through the evidence on the predictive content of the yield curve. Did the current steepness of the yield curve mean that a double-dip recession was highly unlikely? Or was the fact that the yield curve had flattened over the past few years suggest a coming slowdown in economic growth? From time to time, the market focused on the slope of the yield curve. What can it t...Starting at €8.20
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Predicting the Next High-Growth Economies
Warnock, Frank; Walsh, Kieran J.Technical Note DARDEN-GEM-0207-EEconomicsIn 2001, the economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICs) were predicted to grow faster than many others; this prediction turned out to be true. In this technical note, the challenge is to identify the new BRICs in 2023. Students will investigate the following questions: What are the economics behind BRICs? How do investors and managers identify the next BRIC countries (i.e., the next high-growth economies)? Could the economic frameworks...Starting at €8.20