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Movies online (B)
Rata, Cristina; Ariño, Miguel Angel; Baucells Alibés, ManelCase AD-278-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsPart (B) describes how to fit a lognormal distribution to the five percentiles given in Part (A) of the case. Given this lognormal distribution, a straightforward Monte-Carlo simulation model can be implemented to find the alternative with the smallest expected cost.Starting at €5.74
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Movies online (A)
Rata, Cristina; Ariño, Miguel Angel; Baucells Alibés, ManelCase AD-277-EDecision Analysis, EconomicsA futuristic situation is envisioned where a provider of movies online has to negotiate with a studio the distribution of a movie. The decision boils down to the choice between two alternative license arrangements: a fixed payment and a variable payment. The variable payment requires the elicitation of the (continuous) probability distribution of sales by means of five percentiles.Starting at €8.20