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Analyzing Uncertainty: Probability Distributions and Simulation
Carraway, Robert L.Technical Note DARDEN-QA-0660-EDecision AnalysisThis note introduces simulation as a tool to analyze uncertainty in business decisions. It first observes the limitations of single point or simple range estimates of key uncertainties, thereby motivating the need to create a risk profile for any alternative that characterizes the full range of possible outcomes and their relative likelihoods. A simple example involving both a discrete and a continuous (triangle) distribution is used. The note is...Starting at €8.20
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Introduction to Analytical Probability Distributions
Carraway, Robert L.; Jenkins, RobertTechnical Note DARDEN-QA-0690-EDecision AnalysisThis technical note provides a mostly nontechnical introduction to analytical probability distributions. The distributions covered are: uniform, triangular, normal, Poisson, exponential, lognormal, and binomial.Starting at €8.20
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Introduction to Optimization Models
Carraway, Robert L.Technical Note DARDEN-QA-0682-EDecision AnalysisWe refer to a model that uses mathematical programming to find an optimal quantity as an optimization model. Thus, an optimization model differs from an evaluation model in that it goes beyond simply evaluating the consequences of proposed alternatives: It actually identifies the “optimal” alternative. How does an optimization model accomplish this impressive task? In this age of readily available computing power and ever more user-friendly softw...Starting at €8.20
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The Mathematics of Optimization
Carraway, Robert L.Technical Note DARDEN-QA-0683-EDecision AnalysisIn “Introduction to Optimization Models” (UVA-QA-0682), we explored the basics of using optimization models, or mathematical programming. In this technical note, we turn our attention to the mathematics underlying optimization. While not essential, a deeper understanding of the math can help you become a significantly more effective and efficient user of optimization models. It is well worth the investment if you anticipate using optimization on ...Starting at €8.20