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Measuring Uncertainties: Probability Functions (Chinese Version)
Ariño, Miguel AngelTechnical Note ADN-258-ZHDecision Analysis, EconomicsIn this note we present probability functions as a tool to measure uncertainties. Discrete and continuous probabilities are introduced as well as the distinction between probability functions and cumulative probabilities. The mean and standard deviation of a probability are also presented.Starting at €8.20
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Forecasting in companies (Chinese Version)
Ariño, Miguel Angel; Agell, PereTechnical Note ADN-248-ZHDecision Analysis, EconomicsStarting at €8.20
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Exercises on Probabilities and Uncertainties (Chinese Version)
Ariño, Miguel AngelExercise ADE-23-ZHDecision Analysis, EconomicsThis is a set of three solved and three proposed exercises on probability functions.Starting at €8.20
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Exercises on Production Decisions (Chinese Version)
Ariño, Miguel AngelExercise ADE-25-ZHDecision Analysis, EconomicsThis is a collection of four exercises to practice the critical fractile method in production decisions when demand is uncertain and the company has to decide how many units to produce before demand is known.Starting at €8.20
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Movies online (A) (Chinese Version)
Rata, Cristina; Ariño, Miguel Angel; Baucells Alibés, ManelCase AD-277-ZHDecision Analysis, EconomicsA futuristic situation is envisioned where a provider of movies online has to negotiate with a studio the distribution of a movie. The decision boils down to the choice between two alternative license arrangements: a fixed payment and a variable payment. The variable payment requires the elicitation of the (continuous) probability distribution of sales by means of five percentiles.Starting at €8.20